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Citizen Forecasts of the 2008 U.S.Presidential Election

Miller, Michael; Wang, Guanchun; Kulkarni, Sanjeev R; Poor, H. Vincent; Osherson, Daniel N


We analyze individual probabilistic predictions of state outcomes in the 2008 U.S. presidential election. Employing an original survey of more than 19,000 respondents, we find that partisans gave higher probabilities to their favored candidates, but this

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
Source: Politics and Policy
DOI: 10.1111/j.1747-1346.2012.00394.x


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