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HIV prevalence and lifetime risk of dying of AIDS

Blacker, John; Zaba, Basia


The paper examines the relationship between the lifetime risk of dying from AIDS and HIV prevalence, using a female stable population model in which the epidemic has stabilized. In addition to prevalence, lifetime risk is determined by various other factors, notably the level of mortality from causes other than AIDS, age at infection, and survival time between infection and death. Typically, the lifetime risk of dying from AIDS is between three and five times the HIV prevalence. Regression...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 1997
Type: Journal article


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