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Hydroclimatic projections for the Murray-Darling Basin based on an ensemble derived from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 climate models

Sun, Fubao; Roderick, Michael; Lim, Wee Ho; Farquhar, Graham

Description

We assess hydroclimatic projections for the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) using an ensemble of 39 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change AR4 climate model runs based on the A1B emissions scenario. The raw model output for precipitation, P, was adjusted using a quantile-based bias correction approach. We found that the projected change, ΔP, between two 30 year periods (2070-2099 less 1970-1999) was little affected by bias correction. The range for ΔP among models was large (∼±150 mm yr-1) with...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2011
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/38156
Source: Water Resources Research
DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009829

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