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Testing the impact of virus importation rates and future climate change on dengue activity in Malaysia using a mechanistic entomology and disease model

Williams, Craig; Gill, B. S.; Mincham, Gina; Mohd Zaki, A. H.; Abdullah, N.; Mahiyuddin, W. R. W.; Ahmad, R.; Shahar, M. K.; Harley, David; Viennet, Elvina; Azil, A.; Kamaluddin, A.


We aimed to reparameterize and validate an existing dengue model, comprising an entomological component (CIMSiM) and a disease component (DENSiM) for application in Malaysia. With the model we aimed to measure the effect of importation rate on dengue incidence, and to determine the potential impact of moderate climate change (a 1 °C temperature increase) on dengue activity. Dengue models (comprising CIMSiM and DENSiM) were reparameterized for a simulated Malaysian village of 10 000 people, and...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2015
Type: Journal article
Source: Epidemiology and Infection
DOI: 10.1017/S095026881400380X


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