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Fuel prices and road deaths: Motorcyclists are different

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Zhang, Tong; Burke, Paul

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This study estimates the effect of gasoline prices on road deaths by vehicle mode using annual data for 62 countries for 2000–2018 and all states of the United States (US) for 1998–2018. Higher gasoline prices are associated with fewer overall road deaths. The proportional effect on motorcyclist deaths tends to be smaller or even have the opposite sign, especially in countries that are not highly dependent on motorcycles. For the US, a positive effect of gasoline prices on motorcyclist deaths...[Show more]

dc.contributor.authorZhang, Tong
dc.contributor.authorBurke, Paul
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-14T05:50:19Z
dc.identifier.issn0001-4575
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/272764
dc.description.abstractThis study estimates the effect of gasoline prices on road deaths by vehicle mode using annual data for 62 countries for 2000–2018 and all states of the United States (US) for 1998–2018. Higher gasoline prices are associated with fewer overall road deaths. The proportional effect on motorcyclist deaths tends to be smaller or even have the opposite sign, especially in countries that are not highly dependent on motorcycles. For the US, a positive effect of gasoline prices on motorcyclist deaths is found, with an elasticity of about 0.3. There is also a positive relationship between gasoline prices and motorcycle registrations in the US. The results confirm that additional attention towards motorcyclist safety is warranted in times of high fuel prices.
dc.description.sponsorshipThe authors are grateful for comments from anonymous reviewers, David I. Stern, Robert Breunig, and presentations at the Australian National University. The work was supported by the China Scholarship Council (CSC201706980025).
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen_AU
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.rights© 2021 The authors
dc.sourceAccident Analysis and Prevention
dc.subjectFuel prices
dc.subjectRoad deaths
dc.subjectMotorcyclist deaths
dc.subjectFuel efficient
dc.titleFuel prices and road deaths: Motorcyclists are different
dc.typeJournal article
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.citationvolume162
dc.date.issued2021
local.identifier.absfor380117 - Transport economics
local.identifier.ariespublicationa383154xPUB21978
local.publisher.urlhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/
local.type.statusPublished Version
local.contributor.affiliationZhang, Tong, College of Asia and the Pacific, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationBurke, Paul, College of Asia and the Pacific, ANU
local.description.embargo2099-12-31
local.identifier.doi10.1016/j.aap.2021.106396
local.identifier.absseo270311 - Road safety
dc.date.updated2021-11-14T07:17:14Z
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-85115161648
CollectionsANU Research Publications

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