Demographic Forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in Review
Approaches and developments in demographic and population forecasting since 1980 are reviewed. Three approaches to forecasting demographic processes are extrapolation, expectation (individual-level birth expectations or population-level opinions of experts), and theory-based structural modelling involving exogenous variables. Models include 0-3 factors (age, period and cohort). Decomposition and disaggregation are also used in multistate models, including macrosimulation and microsimulation....[Show more]
|Collections||ANU Research Publications|
|Source:||International Journal of Forecasting|
|01_Booth_Demographic_Forecasting:_1980_2006.pdf||383.96 kB||Adobe PDF||Request a copy|
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