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A new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes

Goodwin, Philip; Haigh, Ivan D.; Rohling, Eelco; Slangen, Aimee

Description

Future increases in flooding potential around the world’s coastlines from extreme sea level events is heavily dependent on projections of future global mean sea level (GMSL) rise. Yet, the two main approaches for projecting 21st century GMSL rise—i.e., process-based versus semi-empirical—give inconsistent results. Here, a novel hybrid approach to GMSL projection, containing a process-based thermosteric contribution and a semi-empirical ice-melt contribution, is embedded within a conceptual...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2017
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/231124
Source: Earth's Future
DOI: 10.1002/2016EF000508
Access Rights: Open Access

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