Skip navigation
Skip navigation

On prediction in political science

Dowding, Keith; Miller, Charles


This article discusses recent moves in political science that emphasise predicting future events rather than theoretically explaining past ones or understanding empirical generalisations. Two types of prediction are defined: pragmatic, and scientific. The main aim of political science is explanation, which requires scientific prediction. Scientific prediction does not necessarily entail pragmatic prediction nor does it necessarily refer to the future, though both are desiderata for political...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2019
Type: Journal article
Source: European Journal of Political Research
DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12319


File Description SizeFormat Image
01_Dowding_On_prediction_in_political_2019.pdf120.86 kBAdobe PDF    Request a copy

Items in Open Research are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

Updated:  17 November 2022/ Responsible Officer:  University Librarian/ Page Contact:  Library Systems & Web Coordinator