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Elections, political competition and bank failure

Liu, Wai-Man (Raymond); Ngo, Phong


We exploit exogenous variation in the scheduling of gubernatorial elections to study the timing of bank failure in the US. Using hazard analysis, we show that bank failure is about 45% less likely in the year leading up to an election. Political control (i.e., lack of competition) can explain all of this average election year fall in the hazard rate. In particular, we show that the reduction in hazard rate doubles in magnitude for banks operating in states where the governor has simultaneous...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2014
Type: Journal article
Source: Journal of Financial Economics
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.02.005


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