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Robust Future Changes in Meteorological Drought in CMIP6 Projections Despite Uncertainty in Precipitation

Ukkola, Anna; De Kauwe, Martin G.; Roderick, Michael; Abramowitz, Gab; Pitman, Andrew


Quantifying how climate change drives drought is a priority to inform policy and adaptation planning. We show that the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) simulations project coherent regional patterns in meteorological drought for two emissions scenarios to 2100. We find robust projected changes in seasonal drought duration and frequency (robust over >45% of the global land area), despite a lack of agreement across models in projected changes in mean precipitation (24% of the...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2020-05-10
Type: Journal article
Source: Geophysical Research Letters
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087820
Access Rights: Open Access


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