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Could rainfall have swung the result of the Brexit referendum?

Leslie, Patrick; Arı, Barış


Previous studies have shown that weather conditions may affect voter turnout, sometimes in ways that could plausibly swing the result of a close election. On the day of Britain's EU Referendum, the presence of torrential rain in the South-East of England and Northern Ireland raised concern in the media that voter turnout could be affected in a manner that favoured the Vote Leave campaign. To test this assertion, this paper takes data at the polling district level and overlays interpolated...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2018-07-17
Type: Journal article
Source: Political Geography
DOI: 10.1016/j.polgeo.2018.05.009


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