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Unexpected Expectations

Hajek, Alan

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A decade ago, Harris Nover and I introduced the Pasadena game, which we argued gives rise to a new paradox in decision theory even more troubling than the St Petersburg paradox. Gwiazda's and Smith's articles in this volume both offer revisionist solutions. I critically engage with both articles. They invite reflections on a number of deep issues in the foundations of decision theory, which I hope to bring out. These issues include: some ways in which orthodox decision theory might be...[Show more]

dc.contributor.authorHajek, Alan
dc.date.accessioned2015-12-07T22:18:54Z
dc.identifier.issn0026-4423
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/19052
dc.description.abstractA decade ago, Harris Nover and I introduced the Pasadena game, which we argued gives rise to a new paradox in decision theory even more troubling than the St Petersburg paradox. Gwiazda's and Smith's articles in this volume both offer revisionist solutions. I critically engage with both articles. They invite reflections on a number of deep issues in the foundations of decision theory, which I hope to bring out. These issues include: some ways in which orthodox decision theory might be supplemented; the role of simulations of such infinite games; the role of small probabilities, and of idealization, in decision theory; tolerance about practical norms; and alternative ways of understanding decision theory 's job description.
dc.publisherOxford University Press
dc.sourceMind: a quarterly review of philosophy
dc.titleUnexpected Expectations
dc.typeJournal article
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.citationvolume123
dc.date.issued2014
local.identifier.absfor220319 - Social Philosophy
local.identifier.ariespublicationu5675095xPUB6
local.type.statusPublished Version
local.contributor.affiliationHajek, Alan, College of Arts and Social Sciences, ANU
local.bibliographicCitation.issue490
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage533
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage567
local.identifier.doi10.1093/mind/fzu076
local.identifier.absseo970122 - Expanding Knowledge in Philosophy and Religious Studies
dc.date.updated2015-12-07T08:28:02Z
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-84906913551
local.identifier.thomsonID000342720400010
CollectionsANU Research Publications

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