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Two Centuries of Bull and Bear Market Cycles

Gonzalez, Liliana; Powell, John G; Shi, Jing; Wilson, Antony

Description

Very few economic phenomena attract more attention than bull and bear market cycles do, and there is also agreement that bull markets are associated with persistently rising share prices, strong investor interest, and enhanced financial well-being. This paper identifies bull and bear market turning points using a formal turning-point identification procedure and finds that the bull and bear market phases are associated with distinct and persistent mean return shifts. The analysis highlights...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2005
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/18544
Source: International Review of Economics and Finance
DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2004.02.003

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