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Economic Development, Violent Leader Removal, and Democratization

Miller, Michael


This article argues that autocratic regime strength plays a critical mediating role in the link between economic development and democracy. Looking at 167 countries from 1875 to 2004, I find that development strengthens autocratic regimes, as indicated by a reduced likelihood of violent leader removal. Simultaneously, greater development predicts democratization, but only if a violent turnover has occurred in the recent past. Hence, development can cause democratization, but only in distinctive...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
Source: American Journal of Political Science
DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-5907.2012.00595.x


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