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Do Output Contractions Trigger Democratic Change?

Burke, Paul J.; Leigh, Andrew


Does faster economic growth increase pressure for democratic change, or reduce it? Using data for 154 countries for the period 1963–2007, we examine the short-run relationship between economic growth and moves toward and away from greater democracy. To address the potential endogeneity of economic growth, we use variation in precipitation, temperatures, and commodity prices as instruments for a country’s rate of economic growth. Our results indicate that more rapid economic growth reduces the...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2010
Type: Journal article
Source: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
DOI: 10.1257/mac.2.4.124


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