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Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited

Horiuchi, Yusaku; Kang, Woo Chang


Existing studies—most importantly, Gomez, Hansford, and Krause—provide empirical support for an idea often embraced by popular media: The vote share of the Republican Party (as the percentage of total votes) increases when it rains, because the magnitude of decrease in turnout is larger among Democratic vis-à-vis Republican supporters. Considering the compositional nature of aggregated data, we show that the alleged Republican advantage derives in part from an increase in the number of votes...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2018
Type: Journal article
Source: American Politics Research
DOI: 10.1177/1532673X17745631


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