Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited
Existing studies—most importantly, Gomez, Hansford, and Krause—provide empirical support for an idea often embraced by popular media: The vote share of the Republican Party (as the percentage of total votes) increases when it rains, because the magnitude of decrease in turnout is larger among Democratic vis-à-vis Republican supporters. Considering the compositional nature of aggregated data, we show that the alleged Republican advantage derives in part from an increase in the number of votes...[Show more]
|Collections||ANU Research Publications|
|Source:||American Politics Research|
|01_Horiuchi_Why_Should_the_Republicans_2018.pdf||398.73 kB||Adobe PDF||Request a copy|
Items in Open Research are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.