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Are China and the US Falling into the Thucydides Trap?

Van Ness, Peter


Building his analysis on Thucydides’ study of the Peloponnesian War, Graham Allison and his colleagues have studied the classic international relations problem of military conflict between a rising power and an established dominant power. They identified 16 such situations over the past 500 years, and found that 12 of them ended in war — painting a gloomy picture of the future of US–China relations.

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2017-08-17
Type: Journal article
Source: East Asia Forum
Access Rights: Open access via publisher website
Open access via publisher website


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