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Explaining voting in the 2017 Australian same-sex marriage plebiscite

Snagovsky, Feodor; McAllister, Ian

Description

The 2017 Australian Marriage Law Postal Survey led to the adoption of same-sex marriage. Using ecological analysis, this paper tests five hypotheses to explain voting in the plebiscite. Social characteristics exerted a strong influence on the vote, with a higher yes' vote in more affluent and suburban electorates, and a higher no' vote in electorates with large numbers of traditional households. The strongest predictor of a no' vote was electorates with large proportions of newly arrived...[Show more]

dc.contributor.authorSnagovsky, Feodor
dc.contributor.authorMcAllister, Ian
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-21T11:49:39Z
dc.identifier.issn1036-1146
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/160582
dc.description.abstractThe 2017 Australian Marriage Law Postal Survey led to the adoption of same-sex marriage. Using ecological analysis, this paper tests five hypotheses to explain voting in the plebiscite. Social characteristics exerted a strong influence on the vote, with a higher yes' vote in more affluent and suburban electorates, and a higher no' vote in electorates with large numbers of traditional households. The strongest predictor of a no' vote was electorates with large proportions of newly arrived immigrants. Electorates that had larger proportions of female same-sex couples displayed a higher yes' vote. Higher turnout in the plebiscite benefitted the yes' vote. Finally, the views of the local MP on the issue were positively related to the result in their electorate.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen_AU
dc.publisherRoutledge, Taylor & Francis Group
dc.sourceAustralian Journal of Political Science
dc.titleExplaining voting in the 2017 Australian same-sex marriage plebiscite
dc.typeJournal article
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.citationvolume53
dc.date.issued2018
local.identifier.absfor160603 - Comparative Government and Politics
local.identifier.ariespublicationu4485658xPUB2348
local.type.statusPublished Version
local.contributor.affiliationMcAllister, Ian, College of Arts and Social Sciences, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationSnagovsky, Feodor, College of Arts and Social Sciences, ANU
local.description.embargo2040-01-01
local.bibliographicCitation.issue4
local.identifier.doi10.1080/10361146.2018.1504877
dc.date.updated2019-03-12T07:34:04Z
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-85052080971
local.identifier.thomsonID000445863300001
dc.provenanceJournal: Australian Journal of Political Science (ISSN: 1036-1146, ESSN: 1363-030X) RoMEO: This is a RoMEO green journal Paid OA: A paid open access option is available for this journal. Author's Pre-print: green tick author can archive pre-print (ie pre-refereeing) Author's Post-print: green tick author can archive post-print (ie final draft post-refereeing) Publisher's Version/PDF: cross author cannot archive publisher's version/PDF
CollectionsANU Research Publications

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