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Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

Bergeron-Boucher, Marie-Pier; Canudas-Romo, Vladimir; Pascariu, Marius; Lindahl-Jacobsen, Rune


Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when forecasting sex-specific mortality. We introduce a model forecasting a matrix of the age-specific death rates of sex ratio, decomposed into two age profiles and time indices—before and after age 45—using principal component analysis. Our model allows visualization of both age structure and...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2018
Type: Journal article
Source: Genus
DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0044-8
Access Rights: Open Access


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