Skip navigation
Skip navigation

Small area estimation for the 2011 Census in England and Wales

Baffour-Awuah, Bernard; Silva, Denise; Veiga, Alinne; Sexton, Christine; Brown, James J

Description

The use of model-based small area estimation for adjusting census results in the UK was first introduced in the 2001 Census. The aim was to obtain local level population estimates by age-sex groups, adjusted for the level of undercount that combined results from the Census and the Census Coverage Survey. A similar approach was adopted for the 2011 Census but with new features and this paper describes the work carried out to arrive at the chosen small area strategy. Simulation studies are used...[Show more]

dc.contributor.authorBaffour-Awuah, Bernard
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Denise
dc.contributor.authorVeiga, Alinne
dc.contributor.authorSexton, Christine
dc.contributor.authorBrown, James J
dc.date.accessioned2019-04-13T06:00:16Z
dc.date.available2019-04-13T06:00:16Z
dc.identifier.issn1874-7655
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1885/159577
dc.description.abstractThe use of model-based small area estimation for adjusting census results in the UK was first introduced in the 2001 Census. The aim was to obtain local level population estimates by age-sex groups, adjusted for the level of undercount that combined results from the Census and the Census Coverage Survey. A similar approach was adopted for the 2011 Census but with new features and this paper describes the work carried out to arrive at the chosen small area strategy. Simulation studies are used to investigate three proposed small area estimation methods: a local fixed effects model (the 2001 Census approach), a direct estimator and a synthetic estimator. The results indicate that both the synthetic and the local fixed effect models constitute good options to produce accurate and reliable local authority population estimates. A proposal is made to implement a small area estimation procedure that accommodates both the synthetic and local fixed models, as in some selected areas with differing local authority under-coverage rates a local fixed effects model may perform best. We examine this strategy under real census conditions based on the final results from the 2011 census.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen_AU
dc.publisherIOS Press
dc.sourceStatistical Journal of the IAOS
dc.titleSmall area estimation for the 2011 Census in England and Wales
dc.typeJournal article
local.description.notesImported from ARIES
local.identifier.citationvolume34
dc.date.issued2018
local.identifier.absfor160305 - Population Trends and Policies
local.identifier.ariespublicationu3555277xPUB334
local.type.statusAccepted Version
local.contributor.affiliationBaffour-Awuah, Bernard, College of Arts and Social Sciences, ANU
local.contributor.affiliationSilva, Denise, National School of Statistical Science
local.contributor.affiliationVeiga, Alinne, National School of Statistical Science
local.contributor.affiliationSexton, Christine, Office for National Statistics
local.contributor.affiliationBrown, James J, School of Mathematical & Physical Sciences
local.bibliographicCitation.issue3
local.bibliographicCitation.startpage395
local.bibliographicCitation.lastpage407
local.identifier.doi10.3233/SJI-180427
dc.date.updated2019-03-12T07:26:10Z
local.identifier.scopusID2-s2.0-85052632231
dcterms.accessRightsOpen Access
dc.provenanceJournal: Statistical Journal of the IAOS (ISSN: 1874-7655, ESSN: 1875-9254) [Formerly known as Statistical Journal of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe] RoMEO: This is a RoMEO green journal Paid OA: A paid open access option is available for this journal. Author's Pre-print: green tick author can archive pre-print (ie pre-refereeing) Author's Post-print: green tick author can archive post-print (ie final draft post-refereeing) Publisher's Version/PDF: cross author cannot archive publisher's version/PDF
CollectionsANU Research Publications

Download

File Description SizeFormat Image
01_Baffour-Awuah_Small_area_estimation_for_the_2018.pdf705.44 kBAdobe PDFThumbnail


Items in Open Research are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

Updated:  19 May 2020/ Responsible Officer:  University Librarian/ Page Contact:  Library Systems & Web Coordinator