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Mortality and life expectancy forecasting for a group of populations in developed countries: A multilevel functional data method

Shang, Hanlin


A multilevel functional data method is adapted for forecasting age-specific mortality for two or more populations in developed countries with high-quality vital registration systems. It uses multilevel functional principal component analysis of aggregate and population-specific data to extract the common trend and population-specific residual trend among populations. If the forecasts of population-specific residual trends do not show a long-term trend, then convergence in forecasts may be...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2016
Type: Journal article
Source: Annals of Applied Statistics
DOI: 10.1214/16-AOAS953
Access Rights: Open Access


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