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Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies: A model averaging approach

Shang, Hanlin

Description

Background: Any improvement in the forecast accuracy of life expectancy would be beneficial for policy decision regarding the allocation of current and future resources. In this paper, I revisit some methods for forecasting age-specific life expectancies. Objective: This paper proposes a model averaging approach to produce accurate point forecasts of age-specific life expectancies. Methods: Illustrated by data from fourteen developed countries, we compare point and interval fore-casts among ten...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2012
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/152989
Source: Demographic Research
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.27.21
Access Rights: Open Access

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