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Modelling low pathogenic avian influenza introduction into the commercial poultry industry

Barnes, Belinda; Glass, Kathryn


Outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in commercial poultry flocks are rare but highly disruptive to the industry. There is evidence that low pathogenic avian influenza (LPAI) can transfer from wild birds to domestic flocks, where it may mutate to HPAI, and the industry is concerned that an increasing demand for free-range produce may affect the risk of LPAI and HPAI outbreaks. In this paper we focus on LPAI introduction and establishment, and formulate a branching process model...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2018-03-23
Type: Journal article
Source: Mathematical biosciences
DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.03.021
Access Rights: Open Access


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