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The double-gap life expectancy forecasting model

Pascariu, Marius D.; Canudas Romo, Vladimir; Vaupel, James W.

Description

Life expectancy is highly correlated over time among countries and between males and females. These associations can be used to improve forecasts. Here we propose a method for forecasting female life expectancy based on analysis of the gap between female life expectancy in a country compared with the record level of female life expectancy in the world. Second, to forecast male life expectancy, the gap between male life expectancy and female life expectancy in a country is analysed. We present...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2017
Type: Journal article
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/139181
Source: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.011

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