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Election night forecasting : Australian House of Representatives elections

Cunningham, Ross


This thesis develops a statistical methodology, based on early counts, for prediction of final outcomes in Australian House of Representatives elections. The basis of the method is that early counts, after being reduced to a two party preferred vote for each Division, can be corrected for bias which typically arises in early returns because of the nonrepresentative nature of the sample. An analysis based on two party swing is used to predict results in Divisions where no counts have...[Show more]

CollectionsOpen Access Theses
Date published: 1979
Type: Thesis (Masters)


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