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Time series modelling of birth data

Leung, Caleb Chee Shan


Three basic methods namely cohort component projection methods, statistical time series methods and structural modelling methods are discussed for the purpose of forecasting births, with the main focus on univariate time series methods. A general autoregressive integrated moving average model for birth time series is developed from the mathematical demographic renewal equation for births. The four-stage Box-Jenkins modelling method of model identification, estimation, diagnosis and...[Show more]

CollectionsOpen Access Theses
Date published: 1995
Type: Thesis (Masters sub-thesis)


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