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Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change

Williams, C R; Mincham, G; Faddy, H; Viennet, E; Ritchie, S A; Harley, D


Dengue is the world's most prevalent mosquito-borne disease, with more than 200 million people each year becoming infected. We used a mechanistic virus transmission model to determine whether climate warming would change dengue transmission in Australia. Using two climate models each with two carbon emission scenarios, we calculated future dengue epidemic potential for the period 2046-2064. Using the ECHAM5 model, decreased dengue transmission was predicted under the A2 carbon emission...[Show more]

CollectionsANU Research Publications
Date published: 2016-07-26
Type: Journal article
Source: Epidemiology and infection
DOI: 10.1017/S095026881600162X


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