Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions
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Booth, Heather; Hyndman, Rob; Tickle, Leonie; de Jong, Piet
Description
We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ullah and De Jong-Tickle extensions. These methods are compared by applying them to sex-specific populations of 10 developed countries using data for 1986-2000 for evaluation. All variants and extensions are more accurate than the original...[Show more]
Collections | ANU Research Publications |
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Date published: | 2006-10-20 |
Type: | Journal article |
URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10440/310 http://digitalcollections.anu.edu.au/handle/10440/310 |
Source: | Demographic Research |
DOI: | 10.4054/DemRes.2006.15.9 |
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