Asymmetric Response of the North Atlantic Gyres to the North Atlantic Oscillation

dc.contributor.authorBhagtani, Dhruven
dc.contributor.authorMcC. Hogg, Andrewen
dc.contributor.authorHolmes, Ryan M.en
dc.contributor.authorConstantinou, Navid C.en
dc.contributor.authorKhatri, Hemanten
dc.date.accessioned2025-12-16T01:28:39Z
dc.date.available2025-12-16T01:28:39Z
dc.date.issued2025en
dc.description.abstractThe North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a leading mode of atmospheric variability, affecting the North Atlantic Ocean on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. The NAO changes the atmospheric forcing at the ocean's surface, including winds and surface buoyancy fluxes, both of which are known to impact large-scale gyre circulation. However, the relative role of other physical processes (such as mesoscale eddies and topography) in influencing gyre circulation under NAO variability is not fully understood. Here, we analyze a series of ocean-sea ice simulations using a barotropic vorticity budget to understand the long-term response of the North Atlantic gyre circulation to NAO forcing. We find that for each standard deviation increase in the NAO index, the subtropical and subpolar gyres intensify by 0.90 and 3.41 Sv (1Sv equivalent to 106m3s-1 $\,\mathrm{S}\mathrm{v}\ \equiv 1{0}<^>{6}\,{\mathrm{m}}<^>{3}\,{\mathrm{s}}<^>{-1}$), respectively. The NAO-induced wind stress anomalies drive approximately 90% of the change in the subtropical gyre's interior flow. However, in the subpolar gyre's interior, in addition to wind stress, flow-topography interactions, stratification (influenced by surface heat fluxes), and non-linear advection significantly influence the circulation. Along the western boundary the bottom pressure torque plays a key role in steering the flow, and the vorticity input by the bottom pressure torque is partly redistributed by non-linear advection. Our study highlights the importance of both atmospheric forcing and oceanic dynamical processes in driving long-term gyre circulation responses to the NAO.en
dc.description.sponsorshipD.B. would like to thank Kai Kornhuber and Isla Simpson for discussions on the North Atlantic Oscillation and its impact on the large-scale ocean circulation. D.B. also expresses gratitude to Brandon Reichl for their help with running MOM6 and Julia Neme for useful inputs on dynamically motivated area-integrations for gyres. We thank Christopher Bladwell for useful suggestions on a draft of this manuscript. We would also like to thank the vibrant community of the Consortium for Ocean-Sea Ice Modeling in Australia (cosima.org.au) for fruitful discussions. We also thank the editor along with the two reviewers that helped to improve the quality of this manuscript. Our analyses were facilitated with the Python packages dask (Rocklin, 2015), eofs (Dawson, 2016), gcm-filters (Loose et al., 2022), and xarray (Hoyer & Hamman, 2017). Computational resources were provided by the National Computational Infrastructure at the Australian National University, which is supported by the Commonwealth Government of Australia. D.B. and A.M.H. were supported by the Australian Research Council Center of Excellence for Climate Extremes CE170100023. N.C.C. acknowledges funding from the Australian Research Council under DECRA Fellowship DE210100749. Open access publishing facilitated by Australian National University, as part of the Wiley - Australian National University agreement via the Council of Australian University Librarians.en
dc.description.statusPeer-revieweden
dc.format.extent21en
dc.identifier.issn2169-9275en
dc.identifier.otherWOS:001498540200001en
dc.identifier.otherORCID:/0000-0001-5898-7635/work/188732156en
dc.identifier.scopus105007159644en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1885/733794859
dc.language.isoenen
dc.provenanceThis is an open access article under theterms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial‐NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.en
dc.rights © 2025. The Author(s).en
dc.sourceJournal of Geophysical Research: Oceansen
dc.subjectGyre circulationen
dc.subjectNorth Atlantic Oscillationen
dc.subjectSurface buoyancy forcingen
dc.subjectVorticity budgeten
dc.subjectWind stressen
dc.titleAsymmetric Response of the North Atlantic Gyres to the North Atlantic Oscillationen
dc.typeJournal articleen
dspace.entity.typePublicationen
local.contributor.affiliationBhagtani, Dhruv; Research School of Earth Sciences, ANU College of Science and Medicine, The Australian National Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationMcC. Hogg, Andrew; National Research Infrastructure, The Australian National Universityen
local.contributor.affiliationHolmes, Ryan M.; Bureau of Meteorology Australiaen
local.contributor.affiliationConstantinou, Navid C.; ARC Center of Excellence for the Weather of the 21st Centuryen
local.contributor.affiliationKhatri, Hemant; University of Liverpoolen
local.identifier.citationvolume130en
local.identifier.doi10.1029/2024JC021997en
local.identifier.pure6f0aa94f-8627-4b9d-9215-45a11f0e5b78en
local.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105007159644en
local.type.statusPublisheden

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